UPDATED: Poland says missile that hit it was Ukrainian stray, easing concern of escalation

By Anna Wlodarczak-Semczuk

WARSAW, Nov 16 (Reuters) – A missile that hit Poland was probably a stray fired by Ukraine’s air defences and not a Russian strike, Poland and NATO said on Wednesday, easing global concern that the war in Ukraine could spill across the border.

Nevertheless, NATO’s chief said that Moscow, not Kyiv was ultimately to blame, for starting the war in the first place and launching the attack that triggered Ukraine’s defences.

“This is not Ukraine’s fault. Russia bears ultimate responsibility as it continues its illegal war against Ukraine,” NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg told reporters in Brussels.

NATO ambassadors were holding emergency talks to respond to the blast on Tuesday that killed two people at a grain facility in Poland near the Ukrainian border, the war’s first deadly spillover onto the territory of the Western military alliance.

“From the information that we and our allies have, it was an S-300 rocket made in the Soviet Union, an old rocket and there is no evidence that it was launched by the Russian side,” Polish President Andrzej Duda said. “It is highly probable that it was fired by Ukrainian anti-aircraft defense.”

Stoltenberg also said it was likely a Ukrainian air defence missile.

Polish Prime Minister Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said Warsaw might not need to activate Article 4 of NATO’s treaty, which calls for consultations when a member country considers its security under threat.

Earlier, U.S. President Joe Biden said the missile was unlikely to have been fired from Russia.

The incident occurred while Russia was firing scores of missiles at cities across Ukraine, in what Ukraine says was the biggest volley of such strikes of the nine-month war.

Kyiv says it shot down most of the incoming Russian missiles with its own air defence missiles. Ukraine’s Volyn region, just across the border from Poland, was one of the many Ukraine says was targeted by Russia’s countrywide attacks.

The Russian Defence Ministry said none of its missiles had struck closer than 35 km (20 miles) from the Polish border, and that photos of the wreckage in Poland showed elements of a Ukrainian S-300 air defence missile.

Asked whether it was too early to say if the missile was fired from Russia, Biden said: “There is preliminary information that contests that. I don’t want to say that until we completely investigate it, but it is unlikely in the lines of the trajectory that it was fired from Russia, but we’ll see.”

The United States and NATO countries would fully investigate before acting, Biden said in Indonesia after meeting other Western leaders on the sidelines of a summit of the G20 big economies.

The Kremlin said on Wednesday that some countries had made “baseless statements” about the incident, but that Washington had been comparatively restrained. Spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters that Russia had nothing to do with the incident, which he said had been caused by an S-300 air defence system.

In a tweet issued hours after the incident, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy blamed it on “Russian missile terror”. There was no immediate Ukrainian response on Wednesday to the suggestions that it was a Ukrainian stray.

The missile fell on Przewodow, a village about 6 km (4 miles) from the Ukrainian border. A resident who declined to be identified said the two victims were men who were near the weighing area of a grain facility.

Some Western leaders suggested that whoever fired the missile, Russia and President Vladimir Putin would ultimately be held responsible for an incident arising from its invasion.

“They stressed that, whatever the outcome of that investigation, Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is squarely to blame for the ongoing violence,” British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s office said after a meeting between Sunak and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on the summit sidelines.

Leaders at the G20 summit issued a declaration saying “most members strongly condemned the war in Ukraine”, although it acknowledged that “there were other views and different assessments of the situation and sanctions”.

Russia is a member of the G20 and Ukraine isn’t, but Zelenskiy addressed the summit by video link, while Putin stayed home.

Moscow launched Tuesday’s wave of missile attacks just days after abandoning the southern city of Kherson, the only regional capital it had captured since the invasion.

(Writing by Peter Graff Editing by John Stonestreet, Jon Boyle and Philippa Fletcher)

UPDATE – Polish PM says missile incident could be result of provocation

WARSAW, Nov 16 (Reuters) – It is possible that the incident in which a missile hit a southeastern Polish village was the result of a provocation from the Russian side, the Polish prime minister said on Wednesday.

“We cannot rule out that the shelling of Ukrainian infrastructure near the border was an intentional provocation done in the hope that such a situation could arise,” Mateusz Morawiecki told the Polish parliament.

(Reporting by Alan Charlish and Anna Koper; Editing by Alex Richardson)

UPDATE – Ukrainian access to missile probe needs Polish, U.S. approval, says Polish president

WARSAW, Nov 16 (Reuters) – Both Poland and the United States would have to agree to Ukraine taking part in the investigation into a missile that landed in a village in southeastern Poland, the Polish president said on Wednesday.

“The proceedings are conducted by Polish and American experts and if anyone was to be allowed to take part in these proceedings it would need at least the agreement of both parties,” Andrzej Duda told a news conference.

(Reporting by Alan Charlish, Anna Koper, Marek Strzelecki; Editing by Toby Chopra)

UPDATE – Russia summons Polish envoy after missile incident

MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russia has summoned the Polish ambassador to Moscow to the foreign ministry, ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said on Wednesday.

Earlier the Kremlin accused Poland of reacting in “absolutely hysterical” fashion to Tuesday’s incident when two people were killed by a missile in eastern Poland. Poland and NATO said on Wednesday it was probably a stray rocket fired by Ukraine’s air defences and not, as some reports initially suggested, by Russia.

(Reporting by Reuters)

UPDATE U.S. has not seen anything to contradict Polish assessment on missile explosion

WASHINGTON, Nov 16 (Reuters) – The United States has not seen anything that contradicts Poland’s preliminary assessment that a missile which landed within its borders on Tuesday was most likely the result of a Ukrainian air defense missile, U.S. National Security Council spokesperson Adrienne Watson said on Wednesday.

“Whatever the final conclusions may be, it is clear that the party ultimately responsible for this tragic incident is Russia, which launched a barrage of missiles on Ukraine specifically intended to target civilian infrastructure,” Watson said, adding that Ukraine had every right to defend itself.

(Reporting by Chris Gallagher and Ismail Shakil; Editing by Tim Ahmann)

UPDATE – Russia says missile strike in Poland caused by Ukrainian air defence

Nov 16 (Reuters) – Russia said an explosion in Poland on Tuesday had been caused by a Ukrainian air defence missile and that Russian strikes in Ukraine had been no closer than 35 km (22 miles) from the Polish border.

Moscow said it had nothing to do with the blast, which killed two people, and summoned the Polish chargé d’affaires.

The Kremlin accused some Western countries on Wednesday, especially Poland, of reacting “hysterically”, but said the United States and President Joe Biden had shown restraint. (Read More Here)

Polish President Andrzej Duda speaks during a press conference after a meeting of the Government Committee for National Defence and Defence Affairs at the National Security Bureau hedquarters in Warsaw, Poland, 16 November 2022. EPA-EFE/PAWEL SUPERNAK

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