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Goldman Sachs hikes average Brent oil forecast to over $100 a barrel for March

epa08046278 A handout photo made available by Saudi Arabian oil company Saudi Aramco on 05 December 2019, showing a part of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura facility, Saudi Arabia, 26 November 2019. The Ras Tanura refinery is located in the eastern region of Saudi Arabia. Saudi Aramco that is due to go public at the Tadawul stock exchange in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, in mid-December, is expected to announce the final price for its initial public offering on 05 December 2019. The IPO could become world's biggest initial public offering ever if it exceeds the 2014 IPO of Alibaba that raised 25 billion USD. EPA-EFE/SAUDI ARAMCO HANDOUT HANDOUT EDITORIAL USE ONLY/NO SALES

Goldman Sachs ​expects Brent oil to average over $100 a barrel ‌in March, and $85 in April, it said on Friday, as energy prices remain volatile due to the Iran war and damage ​to Middle East energy infrastructure and disruptions in ​the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent futures for May were ⁠trading at $100.13 a barrel at 0530 GMT, heading ​for about an 8% weekly increase. On Monday, prices ​hit $119.50 a barrel, its highest since mid-2022.

Goldman sees Brent crude gradually easing back to the low $70s later in the year, however, ​if the disruption to oil flows proves longer-lived, ​oil prices could reach higher peaks and end the year at ‌higher ⁠levels.

Goldman said a two-month disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, which has been effectively shut since the start of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran on February ​28 and ​through which ⁠one-fifth of the world’s oil and natural gas supply passes, would push its fourth ​quarter average Brent price estimate from $71 a ​barrel ⁠to $93 a barrel.

Goldman on Thursday raised its Brent and WTI crude oil price forecasts for the fourth quarter of ⁠2026 ​to $71 a barrel for Brent, ​from $66, and $67 per barrel for WTI from $62.

Source:  Reuters

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