International tourism to plunge up to 80% due to coronavirus
4362 Mins Read
The number of international tourist arrivals could plunge by 60 to 80 per cent in 2020 owing to the coronavirus, the World Tourism Organisation said on Thursday (May 7), revising its previous forecast sharply lower.
Widespread travel restrictions and the closure of airports and national borders to curb the spread of the virus had plunged international tourism into its worst crisis since records began in 1950, the UN body said in a statement.
Tourist arrivals fell by 22 per cent in the first three months of the year, and by 57 per cent in March alone, with Asia and Europe suffering the biggest declines, according to the Madrid-based organisation.
“The world is facing an unprecedented health and economic crisis. Tourism has been hit hard, with millions of jobs at risk in one of the most labour-intensive sectors of the economy,” the body’s secretary general, Zurab Pololikashvili, said.
Airlines have suffered the most since the outbreak began in China in late 2019 with most flights grounded, but hotel groups, cruise operators and tour operators are also reeling.
The UN body had forecast at the beginning of the year that international tourism would grow by 3.0-4.0 per cent in 2020 but then revised its forecast at the end of March, predicting a 20-30 per cent decline.
It now said the full extent of the fall in international tourism will depend on the duration of travel restrictions and shutdown of borders. Under a best-case scenario, with travel restrictions starting to ease in early July, international tourist arrivals could fall by just 58 per cent.
If borders and travel restrictions are only lifted in early December the fall would be more on the order of 78 per cent.
