CDEIU Insights

UK budget deficit shows limited room for election giveaways

UK runs 14.3 billion-pound budget deficit in November Reuters poll had pointed to 12.9 bln pound shortfall Budget deficit so far this tax year running higher ONS revises up borrowing…

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How companies are responding to attacks on ships in the Red Sea

Dec 21 (Reuters) - Attacks on vessels by Iranian-backed Houthi militants in Yemen have disrupted international commerce on the shortest shipping route between Europe and Asia. The attacks, targeting a…

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Main elements of fiscal reforms agreed by EU governments

By Jan Strupczewski BRUSSELS, (Reuters) - European Union finance ministers agreed on Wednesday changes to the EU's fiscal rules updating them to the post-pandemic realities of high public debt and…

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U.S. Red Sea taskforce gets limited backing from some allies

Several U.S. allies have said they support efforts to protect shipping in the Red Sea after attacks by Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi group, but some have said they would not join…

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What’s in the new EU migration and asylum deal?

By Gabriela Baczynska BRUSSELS, Dec 20 (Reuters) - The European Union agreed on Wednesday on new rules to handle irregular arrivals of asylum seekers and migrants, a deal hailed as…

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What does Trump’s disqualification ruling in Colorado mean?

By Jack Queen Dec 20 (Reuters) - Donald Trump was disqualified from Colorado's presidential primary ballot by the state's Supreme Court on Tuesday, an extraordinary ruling that could be struck…

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Shipping firms avoid Red Sea as Houthi attacks increase

(Reuters) - Iranian-backed Houthi militants in Yemen have stepped up attacks on vessels in the Red Sea to show their support for Palestinian Islamist group Hamas fighting Israel in Gaza.…

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Trump barred from Colorado primary ballot for role in US Capitol attack

By Andrew Goudsward and Jack Queen WASHINGTON,(Reuters) - Former President Donald Trump is disqualified from serving as U.S. president and cannot appear on the primary ballot in Colorado because of…

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Yes, Trump can win the 2024 election. Here are four reasons why

By James Oliphant WASHINGTON, (Reuters) - He has been impeached twice, tried to thwart the peaceful transfer of power after losing the 2020 presidential election, faces scores of charges in…

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Who are Yemen’s Houthis? Iran-allied group threatens Red Sea shipping

Dec 14 (Reuters) - The Iran-aligned Houthis of Yemen are playing an escalating role in the conflict in the Middle East, attacking shipping in the Red Sea and firing drones…

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Serbian ruling party faces snap Sunday vote after outrage over shootings

By Ivana Sekularac and Aleksandar Vasovic Poll sees President Vucic's SNS party as frontrunners He conducts folksy campaign after mass shootings shake grip on power Opposition accuses SNS of pressuring,…

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Putin to run for president as an independent candidate – RIA cites senior politicians

MOSCOW, Dec 16 (Reuters) - Vladimir Putin will run for president again as an independent candidate with a wide support base but not on a party ticket, the state-backed RIA…

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What’s at stake for Ukraine at EU summit

By Andrew Gray (Reuters) - Ukraine is hoping for a major political and financial boost from a European Union summit this week as its war against Russia's invasion grinds on…

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Key challenges facing Putin if he gets a new six-year term

By Mark Trevelyan Russian President Vladimir Putin has said he will seek another six years in the Kremlin by standing in an election in March where his victory is widely…

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Donald Tusk eyes thaw in EU relations as Poland’s prime minister

By Alan Charlish WARSAW, Dec 11 (Reuters) - When Donald Tusk visited the EU headquarters in October to talk about unfreezing funds from the bloc when he likely returns as…

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‘Putin is vulnerable’: Navalny camp to tap voter concerns on war and economy

Opposition sees 100-day campaign as window of opportunity Volunteers to hit voters with cold-calls and online posts Navalny camp says Putin will win but he is vulnerable By Mark Trevelyan…

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Egypt’s presidential election: Who are the candidates?

Egypt will hold a presidential election on Dec. 10-12 in which Abdel Fattah al-Sisi is set to sweep to a third term in a vote overshadowed by the war in…

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When is 2024 Russian election?

Russia will hold a presidential election on March 17, 2024 at which President Vladimir Putin is going to run for another term that could keep him in power until at…

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How Egyptians will vote for their president

Egypt will hold a presidential election on Dec. 10-12 in which former army chief Abdel Fattah al-Sisi is poised to secure a third term that will extend his rule into…

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Australian study ties increased rates of violence, especially domestic, with higher temperatures.

Large parts of Australia are currently in the grip of a heatwave, and climate change means we’re in for more frequent and intense heat events into the future. We know…

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Taiwan spots Chinese weather balloon in strait a month before election

TAIPEI, Dec 8 (Reuters) - Taiwan's defence ministry said on Friday that a Chinese weather balloon had crossed the Taiwan Strait median line on Thursday, about a month before Taiwan's…

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Main elements of the EU fiscal reforms now under negotiation

By Jan Strupczewski BRUSSELS, Dec 7 (Reuters) - European Union finance ministers will discuss changes to the EU's fiscal rules on Thursday and Friday to reach a deal or bring…

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What are the EU’s landmark AI rules?

By Martin Coulter Negotiations around the European Union's first-of-a-kind rules governing artificial intelligence (AI) looked set for a dramatic climax, as lawmakers enter what some hope will be the final…

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Azerbaijan’s Aliyev calls snap presidential election for February

Dec 7 (Reuters) - Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev on Thursday called an early presidential election for Feb. 7, according to a document published by his office. Aliyev, 61, was last…

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UPDATED: Russia to hold presidential election on March 17, 2024

MOSCOW, Dec 7 (Reuters) - Russia's upper house of parliament voted on Thursday to set the date for Russia's presidential election for March 17, 2024. The decision was passed unanimously…

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Donald Trump, if re-elected in 2024, claims he will not become a dictator

Donald Trump said that he will not become a dictator if he becomes U.S. president again except "on day one", after warnings from Democrats and some Republicans that America was…

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Major events during eight weeks of war between Israel and Hamas

Israel ordered people out of swathes of Gaza's main southern city on Monday as it pressed its ground campaign deep into the south of the enclave, sending desperate residents fleeing,…

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Henry Kissinger has died. The titan of US foreign policy changed the world, for better or worse

Henry Kissinger was the ultimate champion of the United States’ foreign policy battles. The former US secretary of state died on November 29 2023 after living for a century. The…

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How food and agriculture contribute to climate change

By Leah Douglas (Reuters) - Feeding the world is a big job, and the effort produces billions of mets of emissions of greenhouse gases each year - around a third…

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What do we know about China’s respiratory illness surge?

By Andrew Silver SHANGHAI, Dec 1 (Reuters) - A request by the World Health Organization for more information on a surge in respiratory illnesses and clusters of pneumonia in children…

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Mexican presidency race tightens slightly, Sheinbaum retains big lead

MEXICO CITY, (Reuters) - The contest to win Mexico's presidential election on June 2, 2024, has tightened slightly, but ruling party candidate Claudia Sheinbaum still has a massive lead over…

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Who was Henry Kissinger, US diplomat and presidential adviser

Here are some facts on American diplomat Henry Kissinger, who died at age 100 on Wednesday: * He was born Heinz Alfred Kissinger in Furth, a city in Germany's Bavarian…

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UPDATED: Reactions to the death of US diplomat Henry Kissinger

Nov 30 (Reuters) - Here are reactions to the death of Henry Kissinger, a controversial Nobel Peace Prize winner who left an indelible mark on U.S. foreign policy: RUSSIAN PRESIDENT…

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29

Nov

Ahead of COP28, research shows the world far behind in climate fight

By Gloria Dickie, Susanna Twidale and David Stanway Nov 29 (Reuters) - Ahead of this year's COP28 climate summit in Dubai, U.N. agencies have released several reports offering updates on…

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The Israel-Hamas hostage deal

Nov 27 (Reuters) - Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas began a four-day truce on Friday morning, with the first of four daily exchanges of hostages held in Gaza…

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Look to the mainstream to explain the rise of the far right

Javier Milei in Argentina. Geert Wilders in the Netherlands. These are the two latest “populist shocks” – the tip of the “populist wave” that comes crashing against the weakened defences…

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Geert Wilders: the anti-Islam, anti-EU populist who could be next Dutch PM

By Charlotte Van Campenhout AMSTERDAM, (Reuters) - Geert Wilders, the Dutch populist whose anti-Islam comments have led to death threats, could become the next leader of the Netherlands following an…

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What is the humanitarian situation in besieged Gaza?

GENEVA (Reuters) - Israel and Hamas started a four-day ceasefire in Gaza on Friday with aid agencies hoping to use the pause in fighting to ramp up aid deliveries into…

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What do we know about Israeli hostages in Gaza?

The Israeli government voted on Wednesday to back a deal to release some of roughly 240 Israeli hostages, starting today, held by Hamas militants in Gaza in exchange for a…

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Dutch parties tackle tricky coalition talks after Wilders’ shock poll win

By Toby Sterling and Bart H. Meijer AMSTERDAM, Nov 24 (Reuters) - Dutch party leaders meet on Friday for the first time since anti-Islam populist Geert Wilders won Wednesday's elections…

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U.N. Libya envoy pushes for meeting on elections

TRIPOLI, (Reuters) - The United Nations' envoy to Libya asked the country's main powerbrokers to designate representatives for a meeting aimed at reaching an election settlement, part of an apparent…

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Israel–Hamas war: The hostage deal and ceasefire explained

Israel and Hamas have agreed to a pause in fighting in Gaza to allow for the release of 50 hostages held by the militant group in exchange for 150 Palestinians…

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Biden steps up Trump attacks as economic message falls flat

By Nandita Bose and Trevor Hunnicutt WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden is more aggressively going after his likely 2024 election rival Donald Trump as polls show efforts to…

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Military agreement fractures as tensions rise with North Korea

By Ju-min Park SEOUL, Nov 23 (Reuters) - North Korea vowed on Thursday to deploy stronger armed forces and new weapons on its border with the South, pulling back from…

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Tough coalition talks ahead after far right’s Dutch election win

By Bart Meijer and Toby Sterling AMSTERDAM, (Reuters) - With the Dutch election over, attention will now turn toward forming a new government. Coalition building in the fractured Dutch political…

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UPDATED: Far-right’s Wilders seeks to form Dutch govt after shock election win

By Bart H. Meijer, Charlotte Van Campenhout and Ingrid Melander AMSTERDAM, Nov 23 (Reuters) - Dutch anti-EU far-right populist Geert Wilders will start looking for coalition partners on Thursday after…

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Is the rule of Myanmar’s junta under threat?

Myanmar's ruling military is facing attacks on multiple fronts in its borderlands as an alliance of ethnic minority insurgent groups combines with pro-democracy fighters to try to capture territory and…

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Argentina’s Javier Milei: from TV pundit to the presidency

By Maximilian Heath BUENOS AIRES, (Reuters) - When Argentine libertarian Javier Milei announced his entry into politics in 2020 in a bid to "blow up" the system, few predicted that…

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Argentina presidential election: Key takeaways from Milei’s win

By Maximilian Heath BUENOS AIRES, Nov 20 (Reuters) - Argentina elected radical libertarian Javier Milei as president in a run-off election on Sunday, giving the outsider candidate who has pledged…

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Moldovan president’s allies score well in local polls

By Alexander Tanas CHISINAU (Reuters) - Voters in Moldova on Sunday returned a large number of town councils friendly towards President Maia Sandu's drive to join the European Union, but…

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Argentine libertarian Milei pledges new political era after election win

By Nicolás Misculin, Lucinda Elliott and Walter Bianchi BUENOS AIRES, (Reuters) - Argentina elected right-wing libertarian Javier Milei as its new president on Sunday, rolling the dice on an outsider…

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Biden, Trump unpopularity buoys third party hopes for 2024 US election

By Jarrett Renshaw NEW YORK (Reuters) - Facing a likely choice between Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential race, many Americans are desperate for younger,…

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Video games, AI fuel wartime disinformation

Video game used to spread disinformation Malicious actors lower video quality to deceive viewers Challenges in detecting and combating fake content By Adam Smith LONDON, (Thomson Reuters Foundation) - Something…

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Forever war? Israel risks a long, bloody insurgency in Gaza

With no exit strategy, Israel risks long engagement in Gaza Israel invasion to generate more Hamas fighters, sources say Israel may face Iraq, Afghanistan insurgency playbook US, allies want "revitalized"…

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What you need to know about Argentina’s presidential election run-off

By Maximilian Heath BUENOS AIRES, (Reuters) - Argentina will vote in a run-off presidential election on Sunday, with Peronist Economy Minister Sergio Massa taking on libertarian outsider Javier Milei to…

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Ukraine and Moldova have taken a huge step towards EU membership – but these hazards lie ahead

The European Commission has confirmed its support for opening the formal accession process for Ukraine and Moldova to become members of the European Union and for other nations in the…

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What war crimes laws apply to the Israel-Palestinian conflict?

By Anthony Deutsch, Stephanie van den Berg THE HAGUE, (Reuters) - War between Israel and Palestinian militants since the cross-border attack by Gaza's ruling Islamist group Hamas on Oct. 7…

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